There will be a "huge increase'" in U.S. hotel foreclosures next year as debts come due and little financing is available, said Robert Sonnenblick, a hotel developer.
The wave of commercial mortgage-backed securities needing replacement debt "is going to be a close-to-catastrophic problem," Sonnenblick, chairman of Sonnenblick Development LLC, said today at the Bloomberg Commercial Real Estate Summit in New York. "The end result of all of this is you're going to see a huge increase of hotel foreclosures."
About $21.7 billion in commercial mortgage-backed securities on 232 hotels are coming due in the next 12 months and need to be refinanced, according to Realpoint, a securities ratings firm now owned by Morningstar Inc. At best, a third of that will be refinanced, with many properties being taken over by lenders, Sonnenblick said.
The wave of commercial mortgage-backed securities needing replacement debt "is going to be a close-to-catastrophic problem," Sonnenblick, chairman of Sonnenblick Development LLC, said today at the Bloomberg Commercial Real Estate Summit in New York. "The end result of all of this is you're going to see a huge increase of hotel foreclosures."
About $21.7 billion in commercial mortgage-backed securities on 232 hotels are coming due in the next 12 months and need to be refinanced, according to Realpoint, a securities ratings firm now owned by Morningstar Inc. At best, a third of that will be refinanced, with many properties being taken over by lenders, Sonnenblick said.
From my understanding, this means, buyers will wait to bid on thousands of bank owned assets rather than building new hotels. It makes sense, as statistically, 2011 has shown a growth in occupancy levels - with the market starting to show an upward trend hereon. Therefore, the reason for the foreclosures would be the bad inflated loans the hoteliers signed of on, not because of business. Thus, look out for these bank owned hotels to be a good buy.
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